成都市经济增长与环境污染之间的计量研究
成都市经济增长与环境污染之间的计量研究
摘要:选取成都市2000—2010年的工业“三废”排放量和人均GDP数据，建立经济增长与环境污染之间的回归模型，并借助EViews软件进行分析。结果表明工业废水、废气、烟尘、粉尘排放量与人均GDP呈显著负相关；工业固废产生量与人均GDP成倒“U”形关系。
关键词: 经济增长；环境污染；成都市
Abstract: According to time series data: industrial “three wastes” emissions amount and GDP per capita of 2000—2010, regression model of the economic growth and environmental pollution in Chengdu is established. Furthermore, EViews software is applied to estimate the model. The result indicates that industrial wastewater, waste gas, smoke and dust are significantly negatively correlated with GDP per capita. The relationship between industrial solid and GDP per capita presents “inverted U” pattern.
Key words: economic growth; environmental pollution; Chengdu 1 引言
美国经济学家Grossman和Kreuger在对66个国家多年的污染物排放量的变动情况分析后发现，随着收入水平的提高,环境质量先破坏再好转，即环境质量与人均收入之间存在倒“U”形曲线关系[1]。这