统计工作中"数据误差"产生的主要原因

统计工作中“数据误差”产生的主要原因

In the statistical work in the " error " produces the main reason

统计工作中的统计方法、手段, 还需要进一步的规范和完善。因此在数据采用及事理分析中, 就容易产生错误, 造成统计数据质量下降, 影响统计工作。

第一, 行政部门领导干部的干预, 领导干预对统计信息的准确性的影响非常大, 多年以来, 由于受到领导干部业绩考核指标的影响, 许多基层干部出于无奈, 不得不故意虚报统计数据, 来为自己的“政绩”增光添彩。同时, 其主管部门对此也处于无奈的窘境。第二, 统计数据采集不准确。数据采集是统计数据的源头, 力求统计信息准确就必须保证所采集的数据是真实的。现在的现状是:(1)报表人责任心不强, 报表随意性大。(2)报表人员素质不高, 对报表不理解。(3)很多的企业不重视统计, 有的则是会计人员兼职。(4)某些地区、部门、行业, 出于对自身利益的考虑, 故意瞒报统计数据, 以达到少缴、甚至不缴国家规定必须缴的一些规费、税金, 从而导致了国家的相关规费、税费的大量流失。而这些地区、部门、行业, 却因此而得到了大量的不当收益。第三, 虽然我国的统计工作已经与国际接轨, 但由于我国正在建设有中国特色的社会主义市场经济, 现阶段仍处于发展中

国家的阶段。First, the administrative departments of leading cadres of the intervention, the impact of leadership intervention on accuracy of statistical information is very large, over the years, due to the impact of the performance evaluation of leading cadres, many grassroots cadres as it cannot be helped, to intentionally false statistical data, to their own "achievement " Zengguang luster. At the same time, the authorities have also is helpless. Second, the statistical data is not accurate. Data acquisition is the source of statistical data, and strive to accurate statistics and you must ensure that the collected data is true. Now the situation is: ( 1 ) the report responsibility heart is not strong, reporting arbitrariness. ( 2 ) the quality of reporting staff is not high, lack of understanding of the report. ( 3 ) many enterprises do not attach importance to statistics, some of it is accountant part-time. ( 4 ) in some areas, departments, industry, out of their own interests, deliberately conceal statistical data, in order to pay less,

don't even pay the state provisions must pay some fees, taxes, resulting in a large number of relevant fees, the loss of national tax. And these regions, departments, industry, therefore it is improper benefits a lot of. Third, although the statistical work in our country has been in line with international standards, but because our country is building a socialist market economy with Chinese characteristics, at this stage is still in developing stage. Methods statistical methods, statistical work, also need to further standardize and improve the. So in the data and logic analysis, prone to error, resulting in the decline of the quality of statistical data, statistical work. 针对我国目前统计工作中存在的“数据误差”应对的策略

In view of the current statistical work of the existing " errors " strategy

1. 加大对统计工作的宣传力度。力争使每一位统计参与者, 特别是党政领导干部都要了解统计工作对我国国民经济建设起的巨大作用, 努力提高他们对统计工作的正确认识, 得到他们对统计工作的支持。开展统计法

制教育, 以法治统。通过多种多样的形式进行普及《统计法》的教育, 从思想上提高他们对提高统计数据质量的认识, 促使他们在实际工作中坚持原则, 敢于同影响统计数字真实性的违法行为作斗争, 真正做到以法治统。其次, 还可对统计人员进行《统计法》的理论考试, 让法深入人心, 以便他们理直气壮地按法办事。再次, 对大中专学校经济类专业应加设一门《统计法》基本知识课, 以便学生将来走上统计工作岗位后能够依法办事, 知法工作, 把保证统计数据质量放在首要地位, 为党政领导及企业管理和决策提供可靠的依据。 对目前干部考核中一些片面强调GDP 增长的业绩考核制度进行改革。长期以来, 统计工作中存在着“以数字论英雄”的局面, 从而出现了“官出数字、数字出官”的怪现象。淡化统计数字的政绩观, 建立科学的干部考核制度。这是走出“官出数字、数字出官”怪圈, 让统计数据不受个人意志左右的治本之策。首先应当在调查研究的基础上, 制定切实可行的考核目标, 防止因考核目标不切实际而引发的虚报浮夸的歪风蔓延。其次, 应完善干部实绩考核统计制度, 将定量考核与定性考核有机结合起来, 改进目标考核实绩的统计方法, 确保目标考核实绩数据的准确性; 最后, 应建立干部政绩公议制度, 扩大干部政绩考核的民主。实施领导干部政绩公议制度可改变过去

那种干部只“对上负责、不对下负责”的弊端, 提高干部工作的公开化、民主化程度, 不断增强干部政绩考核准确性。增强他们工作的责任感和为民服务意识。

The 1 increase in the statistical work of propaganda. Strive to make every statistical participants, especially leading cadres must understand the great role of the statistical work in China's national economic construction, and strive to improve the correct understanding of their statistical work, get their support for the statistical work. To carry out statistical law education, law rule system. The popularity of " Statistics " through various forms of education, from the thought to improve their understanding of improving the quality of statistical data, prompting them to adhere to the principle of work in practice, dare to illegal behavior with the effect of statistics the authenticity of the struggle, truly rule integration rule. Secondly, can also be " theory of Statistics " examination of statistical personnel, to win support among the people so that they can be in the right and

self-confident method, according to the law. Again, in college economics courses shall be equipped with basic knowledge of class a " Statistics ", so that students will take the statistical work can act according to law, the law of work, to ensure the quality of statistical data is put in the first place, provide the reliable basis for the party and government and enterprise management and decision. The current cadre examination some one-sided emphasis on the growth of GDP performance appraisal system reform. Long-term since, there is a " digital heroes " of the situation of the statistical work, which appeared in the "strange phenomenon, digital, digital official ". Fade statistics achievement view, establishing the scientific system of cadre appraisal. This is out of the " official digital, digital official " vicious circle, make statistical data without fundamental personal will or. We should first of all on the basis of investigation and research, formulate feasible appraisal target, prevent the assessment target unrealistic caused the contagion

spread false reports. Secondly, we should perfect the cadre performance assessment system of statistics, the quantitative evaluation and qualitative evaluation organically, improved statistical method, target achievement, ensure the accuracy of target assessment performance data; finally, should establish a cadre achievement in one's post publicity system, expand the cadre achievement in one's post examination of democracy. The implementation of leadership cadres publicity system can change the disadvantages of the past that officials only " responsible for the superior, not responsible", improve the openness, democratization of cadres, strengthen cadre achievement assessment accuracy. Enhance their sense of responsibility and sense of public service.

3. 完善统计工作中的统计考核指标体系, 以及与此相适应的统计方法, 矿车从而在源头上来遏制问题产生的基本动因。必须对我国统计工作现状进行深入的分析, 总结出统计工作中的行之有效的方法。在现实工作中, 政府已经相应成立了国家统计局直属调查队, 其隶属关系

不在当地, 因而可以免受许多人为因素的干扰, 为我国宏观经济决策提供重要的参考依据。 努力提高我们统计从业工作者的自身素质。统计工作者自身素质的提高, 是做好统计工作的首要的、基本的条件。试想, 如果一个统计工作者对统计工作不太了解, 统计手段落后, 基层统计队伍不稳定, 我国统计工作的质量的提高又从何谈起? 综合使用行政手段、喷灌设备法律手段和经济手段, 提高统计违法成本。可以从以下三方面着手:一是对违法的统计工作人员除依法处理外, 一律清除出统计队伍。二是对参与违法的领导, 一经查实, 必须依照有关法规从重从快处罚, 决不手软, 达到以儆效尤的目的。三是将处罚费用与统计违法行为责任人挂钩, 从经济上处罚责任人。这样, 就可以把行政手段、法律手段和经济手段有机结合起来进行综合处罚, 让违法者得不偿失。 3 to improve the statistical evaluation index system of statistical work, as well as the corresponding statistical methods, and basic cause of containment problems at source. Must have thorough analysis of the status of China's statistical work, summed up the effective method of statistical work in the. In reality, the government has set up the corresponding directly

under the National Bureau of investigation team, its membership is not local, so it can be free from the interference of many artificial factors, to provide the important reference basis for China's macro economic decision. Efforts to improve our staff's quality of statistical practitioners. Statistical workers to improve their own quality, is of primary importance, basic conditions do statistical work. Just imagine, if not too to understand a statistician on statistical work, statistical method is backward, the basic statistical procession is not steady, the statistical work of China to improve the quality of and from any talk about? The integrated use of administrative means, legal means and economic means, improve statistical illegal cost. Available from the following three aspects: one is on illegal statistical personnel except processing according to the law, will be removed from the statistical ranks. Two is to participate in illegal leadership, once found, must be severely and promptly punished in accordance with relevant laws and regulations,

no mercy, to warn others against following a bad example to. Three is the responsible person penalty cost and statistical violations hook, from the economic punishment responsibility. In this way, can the administrative means, legal means and economic means of organic combination of punishment, let offenders the loss outweighs the gain.

统计工作必须还要强调“以人为本”, 以人的全面发展来带动统计工作的正确发展; 并通过统计工作的正确发展, 反过来推进人的全面发展。此外, 充分运用现有的科技成果, 使政府各职能部门数据共享, 使得虚报、瞒报者无处藏身。与此同时, 还可以利用网络资源, 在查出虚报、瞒报的同时, 去引起、带动职能部门对其进行专项调查, 从而使统计工作能真正地服务于国家建设, 同时服务于党风廉政建设, 服务于人民的需要。但这是一个漫长的过程, 需要一步一步地去努力。我相信统计工作在国家宏观调控和微观管理下, 在广大统计工作者的努力下, 其可靠性、真实性和权威性会逐步提高, 统计数据失真的现象会得到有效的控制。统计工作会随着大家的共同努力会不断提高。

Statistical work must also stressed that the "

people-oriented " development, the right to the all-round development of people to drive the statistical work; and the right development by means of statistical work, and in turn to promote the all-round development of people. In addition, make full use of the existing scientific and technological achievements, make the government department data sharing, making the false report, conceal is nowhere to hide. At the same time, also can use the cyber source, found false, concealed at the same time, to cause, to drive the functional departments of the special investigation, so that the statistical work can really serve the national construction, and service in the construction of a clean and honest government, to serve the people. But this is a long process, need to step by step to work. I believe that the statistical work in the national macro-control and microcosmic management, in the broad statistic worker 's efforts, its reliability, authenticity and authority will gradually improve, statistical data distortion phenomenon will be effectively

controlled. Statistical work with the joint efforts of everyone will improve.